September 5, 2022 7:30 PM
Associated Press, CNN
Publication date: September 5, 2022 7:30 PM
Updated: September 5, 2022 8:38 PM
A big red tide is brewing, but with the 2022 midterm elections entering their last two-month race, Republicans fear losing their partisan leadership.
This is despite Democrats facing a weak presidential standing, deep pessimism from voters, and historical weight.
The changing political landscape comes on the heels of President Joe Biden's string of legislative victories on climate, health care and gun violence, as voters struggle to expand their appeal on Donald Trump's electoral battlefield.
But nothing dampens Republicans' momentum more than the Supreme Court's decision to end abortion protections, which sparked a backlash even in hot states this summer.
But the legitimate victory achieved by former President Donald Trump raised his image during his election campaign in favor of the elected. On Monday, a federal judge granted the FBI's request that a private master examine documents seized from his Florida home, and also temporarily halted the Justice Department's use of the documents for investigative purposes.
Biden launched a campaign to spur Democrats on at the start of a crucial moment before the midterm elections, as he visited the swing states of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania to celebrate Labor Day with union members he hopes will vote for his party in November. .
In an effort to further erode Biden's reputation, the top Republican on the House Oversight Committee criticized the Treasury Department for refusing requests to release suspicious bank data related to Hunter Biden and others, according to a report. press release.
Kentucky Representative James Comer accused the department of trying to "whitewash the Biden family and possibly conceal information that Joe Biden has benefited financially from his family's business dealings."
The governor's powers are becoming more visible to Americans as states make decisions after the federal government is formed.
In November, 36 states will hold gubernatorial elections that, while often more expensive than Senate races, are likely to have a more direct impact on the political landscape and provide a springboard for more ambitious candidates, such as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. .
In the election season, Republicans control 20 competing state governorships, compared to 16 Democrats. But several major battlefield races feature Democrats elected in the "blue wave" of 2018, seeking a second term. Read more about this fall's races:
Finally, some Democrats seem to care more about the 2024 election than the midterms. The rejection of the election won Republican primaries across the country, including in a state that will be at the center of the 2024 presidential election.
Secretaries of State, and their state's top election officials, have been at the forefront of dispelling false allegations about voter fraud in 2020. Unexpected new concessions have helped State Department candidates attract more money and attention in this cycle, some Democrats say. He worries that the party is not focusing enough on this race and its ramifications for the 2024 presidential election, if the candidate who wins that seat matters to the outcome of the statewide election. Read CNN's analysis:
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Dr. Muhammed Oz (Republican) vs. John Fetterman (Democrat).
The race will replace retired Republican Senator Pat Tommy.
Dr. Mehmet Oz won the Republican primary in the US Senate in Pennsylvania after days of counting. The famous heart surgeon will face Democratic Governor John Fetterman in November. Fetterman got off the road while recovering from a stroke and serious heart disease. Democrats see this race, to replace Republican Senator Pat Toomey, who is retiring for two terms, as the best chance of winning a seat in the Senate race. Fetterman's ads criticized outsourcing, factory closures, rising costs, and lower wages, saying that "decisions are made by people who don't know us." On the other hand, the GNP is trying to link Fetterman with the more liberal members of his party and the Biden administration.
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Dr. Muhammed Oz (Republican) vs. John Fetterman (Democrat).
The race will replace retired Republican Senator Pat Tommy.
Dr. Mehmet Oz won the Republican primary in the US Senate in Pennsylvania after days of counting. The famous heart surgeon will face Democratic Governor John Fetterman in November. Fetterman got off the road while recovering from a stroke and serious heart disease. Democrats see this race, to replace Republican Senator Pat Toomey, who is retiring for two terms, as the best chance of winning a seat in the Senate race. Fetterman's ads criticized outsourcing, factory closures, rising costs, and lower wages, saying that "decisions are made by people who don't know us." On the other hand, the GNP is trying to link Fetterman with the more liberal members of his party and the Biden administration.
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Senator Raphael Warnock (Democrat) vs. Herschel Walker (Republican)
Georgia continues to struggle against a history of slavery, segregation and racial injustice, but voters in the state of the Deep South have for the first time selected two black candidates to represent the major parties in the US Senate race. It is black voters who can determine the outcome of the November elections. Republican soccer legend Herschel Walker will be on hand as he tries to oust Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock after the duo handily defeated their rivals last week. Black candidates from both parties have run for Senate in other states in the past, but the race between Walker and Warnock is expected to be more intense.
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Senator Raphael Warnock (Democrat) vs. Herschel Walker (Republican)
Georgia continues to struggle against a history of slavery, segregation and racial injustice, but voters in the state of the Deep South have for the first time selected two black candidates to represent the major parties in the US Senate race. It is black voters who can determine the outcome of the November elections. Republican soccer legend Herschel Walker will be on hand as he tries to oust Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock after the duo handily defeated their rivals last week. Black candidates from both parties have run for Senate in other states in the past, but the race between Walker and Warnock is expected to be more intense.
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Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (Democrat) – Adam Laxalt (R).
Adam Laxalt, the former state attorney general who has admitted lying about the 2020 election, has won the Republican nomination for a general seat in the Nevada Senate, starting what could be a difficult and costly race against Catherine Cortez Masto. , one of them. Democrats are most at risk in a divided Senate. Republicans view the race as their best chance to win a Senate seat and regain their majority, but they also see long-term indications that Nevada is back on the right track after rejecting every GOP presidential candidate since 2004.
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Senator Catherine Cortez Masto (Democrat) – Adam Laxalt (R).
Adam Laxalt, the former state attorney general who has admitted lying about the 2020 election, has won the Republican nomination for a general seat in the Nevada Senate, starting what could be a difficult and costly race against Catherine Cortez Masto. , one of them. Democrats are most at risk in a divided Senate. Republicans view the race as their best chance to win a Senate seat and regain their majority, but they also see long-term indications that Nevada is back on the right track after rejecting every GOP presidential candidate since 2004.
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Ted Budd (Republican) vs. Sherry Beasley (Democrat)
The race is to fill the seat of retired Republican Senator Richard Burr.
US Representative Ted Budd and former Chief Justice Sherry Beasley will meet again in a meeting that will test former President Donald Trump's influence in North Carolina. Budd's main win went to Trump, who nominated the unpopular congressman with surprising support nearly a year ago. Beasley would become North Carolina's first black senator if elected to a Republican state. In 2020, he lost the statewide election to chief justice by just 400 votes.
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Ted Budd (Republican) vs. Sherry Beasley (Democrat)
The race is to fill the seat of retired Republican Senator Richard Burr.
US Representative Ted Budd and former Chief Justice Sherry Beasley will meet again in a meeting that will test former President Donald Trump's influence in North Carolina. Budd's main win went to Trump, who nominated the unpopular congressman with surprising support nearly a year ago. Beasley would become North Carolina's first black senator if elected to a Republican state. In 2020, he lost the statewide election to chief justice by just 400 votes.
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J.D. Vance (Rep) vs. Tim Ryan (Democrat)
The race will replace retired Republican Senator Rob Portman.
Writer J.D. Vance, who secured Trump's endorsement in mid-April, won the Republican nomination on May 3. Democratic Representative Tim Ryan easily won his party's nomination, but he's starting to sit at a disadvantage in this increasingly Republican country. Vance and Ryan are vying for the seat vacated by retired Republican Senator Rob Portman.
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J.D. Vance (Rep) vs. Tim Ryan (Democrat)
The race will replace retired Republican Senator Rob Portman.
Writer J.D. Vance, who secured Trump's endorsement in mid-April, won the Republican nomination on May 3. Democratic Representative Tim Ryan easily won his party's nomination, but he's starting to sit at a disadvantage in this increasingly Republican country. Vance and Ryan are vying for the seat vacated by retired Republican Senator Rob Portman.
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Senator Michael Bennett (Democrat) vs. Joe O'Dea (Rep)
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Senator Ron Johnson (Republican) vs. Mandela Barnes (Democrat)
Lieutenant Mandela Barnes won the Democratic nomination for Republican Senator Ron Johnson, a staunch Trump supporter. The fight is one of the last scheduled confrontations before the general election in November, when control of the Senate is now 50-50, and Democrats see Wisconsin as one of their best chances of changing seats.
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Senator Ron Johnson (Republican) vs. Mandela Barnes (Democrat)
Lieutenant Mandela Barnes won the Democratic nomination for Republican Senator Ron Johnson, a staunch Trump supporter. The fight is one of the last scheduled confrontations before the general election in November, when control of the Senate is now 50-50, and Democrats see Wisconsin as one of their best chances of changing seats.
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Senator Mark Kelly (Democrat) vs. Blake Masters (Republican)
Trump-backed Blake Masters has emerged as the Republican candidate. The 35-year-old frontrunner has spent most of his career working with billionaire Peter Thiel, who funded his campaign. Experts point to the cultural grievances that drive rights, including critical racist theories and accusations of heavy technology censorship. Masters will face Democratic Senator Mark Kelly in the fall.
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Senator Mark Kelly (Democrat) vs. Blake Masters (Republican)
Trump-backed Blake Masters has emerged as the Republican candidate. The 35-year-old frontrunner has spent most of his career working with billionaire Peter Thiel, who funded his campaign. Experts point to the cultural grievances that drive rights, including critical racist theories and accusations of heavy technology censorship. Masters will face Democratic Senator Mark Kelly in the fall.
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Senator Marco Rubio (Republic) vs. Val Demings (Democrat)
U.S. Representative Val Demings handily won the Democratic nomination to face Republican Senator Marco Rubio this fall. Demings, a former police chief and extraordinary political fundraiser, has a chance to become Florida's first black senator. While some Democrats hope Demings will topple Probio, the party's national leadership is prioritizing competitive Senate races in other states, including neighboring Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania.
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Senator Marco Rubio (Republic) vs. Val Demings (Democrat)
U.S. Representative Val Demings handily won the Democratic nomination to face Republican Senator Marco Rubio this fall. Demings, a former police chief and extraordinary political fundraiser, has a chance to become Florida's first black senator. While some Democrats hope Demings will topple Probio, the party's national leadership is prioritizing competitive Senate races in other states, including neighboring Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania.
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10. Chris Murphy: Connecticut senators are at the center of negotiations over new gun laws after the mass shooting at a school in Ovaldi, Texas. He was also an outspoken voice in liberal politics, but he was by no means a strict theorist. "He seems to understand that politics is the art of doing what is possible, not merely pointing out the impossible and blaming opposition," political analyst Stu Rothenberg wrote in an article earlier this month speculating on Murphy's future. Murphy doesn't get as much attention as a potential 2024 candidate, but I think it would be interesting if he decides to run.
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10. Chris Murphy: Connecticut senators are at the center of negotiations over new gun laws after the mass shooting at a school in Ovaldi, Texas. He was also an outspoken voice in liberal politics, but he was by no means a strict theorist. "He seems to understand that politics is the art of doing what is possible, not merely pointing out the impossible and blaming opposition," political analyst Stu Rothenberg wrote in an article earlier this month speculating on Murphy's future. Murphy doesn't get as much attention as a potential 2024 candidate, but I think it would be interesting if he decides to run.
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9. Roy Cooper: Being elected and re-elected as a Democrat in North Carolina is no easy feat. But that's exactly what Cooper did. There is a pattern of southern governors (Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter) running for the White House and winning. As the New York Times noted in a story late last year, Cooper has a note that could appeal to core Democratic voters: He helped repeal a law on his birth certificate that required people in government-run facilities to use gender-appropriate restrooms. . It also issued an executive order on paid and carbon-neutral parental leave. Cooper's biggest problem in the 2024 race? Not yet known nationwide. at all
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9. Roy Cooper: Being elected and re-elected as a Democrat in North Carolina is no easy feat. But that's exactly what Cooper did. There is a pattern of southern governors (Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter) running for the White House and winning. As the New York Times noted in a story late last year, Cooper has a note that could appeal to core Democratic voters: He helped repeal a law on his birth certificate that required people in government-run facilities to use gender-appropriate restrooms. . It also issued an executive order on paid and carbon-neutral parental leave. Cooper's biggest problem in the 2024 race? Not yet known nationwide. at all
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8. Cory Booker: The 2020 New Jersey Senator's presidential campaign has never been successful. But much of what made Booker so interesting for the role in 2020 remains true: a charismatic, well-spoken politician with a healthy dose of star power. Plus, having run for the Democratic nomination once and lost, he'll probably be wiser when he's running for the second time. Of course, Poker's recent failed attempts at the question "Why? Which Poker must answer to gain momentum in the next race."
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8. Cory Booker: The 2020 New Jersey Senator's presidential campaign has never been successful. But much of what made Booker so interesting for the role in 2020 remains true: a charismatic, well-spoken politician with a healthy dose of star power. Plus, having run for the Democratic nomination once and lost, he'll probably be wiser when he's running for the second time. Of course, Poker's recent failed attempts at the question "Why? Which Poker must answer to gain momentum in the next race."
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7. Amy Klobuchar: Unlike Booker, the Minnesota senator had a moment in the 2020 race. In the days leading up to the New Hampshire primary, she looked like the running mate and had little chance of winning. He came in third behind Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg. Less than a month later, he withdrew from the race and endorsed Biden. The way he ran, and the way he finished the campaign, earned Klobuchar a credit that could come in handy if he races again in 2024.
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7. Amy Klobuchar: Unlike Booker, the Minnesota senator had a moment in the 2020 race. In the days leading up to the New Hampshire primary, she looked like the running mate and had little chance of winning. He came in third behind Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg. Less than a month later, he withdrew from the race and endorsed Biden. The way he ran, and the way he finished the campaign, earned Klobuchar a credit that could come in handy if he races again in 2024.
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6. Elizabeth Warren: I was amazed in April when Warren hit the pages of the New York Times with an op-ed titled "Democrats Can Avoid Disaster in November." The argument is that Democrats need to agree on as much of their agenda as possible before November, and voters will reward them for doing so. Yes, it is doubtful. The editorial included the following lines: "Despite the pandemic relief, infrastructure investments, and historic Supreme Court confirmation of Ketanji Brown-Jackson, we have promised more, and voters remember those promises." Fabulous! This kind of language puts Warren in a position to say "I told you so" if, as expected, the Democrats are defeated in the 2022 election. And it could serve as a springboard for a White House runoff.
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6. Elizabeth Warren: I was amazed in April when Warren hit the pages of the New York Times with an op-ed titled "Democrats Can Avoid Disaster in November." The argument is that Democrats need to agree on as much of their agenda as possible before November, and voters will reward them for doing so. Yes, it is doubtful. The editorial included the following lines: "Despite the pandemic relief, infrastructure investments, and historic Supreme Court confirmation of Ketanji Brown-Jackson, we have promised more, and voters remember those promises." Fabulous! This kind of language puts Warren in a position to say "I told you so" if, as expected, the Democrats are defeated in the 2022 election. And it could serve as a springboard for a White House runoff.
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5. Gavin Newsom: A funny thing happened when California Republicans tried to make Newsom governor: he got a lot stronger. لم يهزم نيوسوم بسهولة محاولته لعزل 2021 فحسب ، بل أصبح الآن المرشح الأوفر حظًا للفوز بولاية ثانية في نوفمبر. منحت جهود الاستدعاء نيوسوم تعرضًا وطنيًا كبيرًا لفئة المانحين والناشطين ، والتي يجب أن تكون مفيدة إذا قرر الترشح لمنصب عام 2024. نيوسوم ، في هذه المرحلة على الأقل ، محرجة. قال لصحيفة "سان فرانسيسكو كرونيكل" في مايو / أيار عن احتمال ترشحه للرئاسة: "لم يكن الأمر حتى على راداري". حسنًا ، لطالما كان لدى Newsom طموحات كبيرة.
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5. جافين نيوسوم: حدث شيء مضحك عندما حاول الجمهوريون في كاليفورنيا جعل نيوسوم حاكمًا: لقد أصبح أقوى كثيرًا. لم يهزم نيوسوم بسهولة محاولته لعزل 2021 فحسب ، بل أصبح الآن المرشح الأوفر حظًا للفوز بولاية ثانية في نوفمبر. منحت جهود الاستدعاء نيوسوم تعرضًا وطنيًا كبيرًا لفئة المانحين والناشطين ، والتي يجب أن تكون مفيدة إذا قرر الترشح لمنصب عام 2024. نيوسوم ، في هذه المرحلة على الأقل ، محرجة. قال لصحيفة "سان فرانسيسكو كرونيكل" في مايو / أيار عن احتمال ترشحه للرئاسة: "لم يكن الأمر حتى على راداري". حسنًا ، لطالما كان لدى Newsom طموحات كبيرة.
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4. بيت بوتيجيج: عندما قبل بوتيجيج ، النجم الصاعد في السباق الرئاسي الديمقراطي لعام 2020 ، منصب وزير النقل في إدارة بايدن ، تساءل العديد من المراقبين عن السبب. بعد كل شيء ، إنه ليس من النوع الرفيع المستوى الذي يشغل منصبًا مثل المدعي العام أو وزير الخارجية. لكن بوتيجيج كذب مخاوفه ، وظهر كوجه لمشروع قانون للبنية التحتية يحظى بشعبية كبيرة. اتضح أن تخصيص الدولارات الفيدرالية للمشاريع المحلية هو وسيلة رائعة لبناء النوايا الحسنة. يُعد بوتيجيج أحد السياسيين الأكثر طبيعية في الحزب الديمقراطي ، وفي سن الأربعين ، يمكنه الانتظار حتى لا تبدو معسكرات 2024 أو 2028 واعدة.
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4. بيت بوتيجيج: عندما قبل بوتيجيج ، النجم الصاعد في السباق الرئاسي الديمقراطي لعام 2020 ، منصب وزير النقل في إدارة بايدن ، تساءل العديد من المراقبين عن السبب. بعد كل شيء ، إنه ليس من النوع الرفيع المستوى الذي يشغل منصبًا مثل المدعي العام أو وزير الخارجية. لكن بوتيجيج كذب مخاوفه ، وظهر كوجه لمشروع قانون للبنية التحتية يحظى بشعبية كبيرة. اتضح أن تخصيص الدولارات الفيدرالية للمشاريع المحلية هو وسيلة رائعة لبناء النوايا الحسنة. يُعد بوتيجيج أحد السياسيين الأكثر طبيعية في الحزب الديمقراطي ، وفي سن الأربعين ، يمكنه الانتظار حتى لا تبدو معسكرات 2024 أو 2028 واعدة.
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3. بيرني ساندرز: يعتقد معظم الناس أن الانتخابات الرئاسية لعام 2020 ستكون الأخيرة للسيناتور من ولاية فيرمونت. بعد كل شيء ، هو الآن يبلغ من العمر 80 عامًا ، ومع وجود اثنين من أفراد House غير الناجحين خلفه ، يبدو من المحتمل أن ساندرز قد يرتقي إلى الشفق السياسي. لا! وكتب فايز شاكر ، مستشار ساندرز ، في بيان: "في حالة إجراء انتخابات أولية رئاسية ديمقراطية مفتوحة في عام 2024 ، لم يستبعد السناتور ساندرز إجراء انتخابات رئاسية أخرى ، لذلك نشجعه على النظر في جميع الأسئلة حول عام 2024". الحلفاء في أبريل. على الرغم من أن ساندرز استبعد تحدي بايدن في الانتخابات التمهيدية للحزب الديمقراطي لعام 2024 ، فمن السهل رؤيته يستكشف سباقًا آخر إذا انسحب بايدن. ويظل ساندرز هو المرشح الأكثر شهرة واحتراما بين الليبراليين في البلاد.
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3. بيرني ساندرز: يعتقد معظم الناس أن الانتخابات الرئاسية لعام 2020 ستكون الأخيرة للسيناتور من ولاية فيرمونت. بعد كل شيء ، هو الآن يبلغ من العمر 80 عامًا ، ومع وجود اثنين من أفراد House غير الناجحين خلفه ، يبدو من المحتمل أن ساندرز قد يرتقي إلى الشفق السياسي. لا! وكتب فايز شاكر ، مستشار ساندرز ، في بيان: "في حالة إجراء انتخابات أولية رئاسية ديمقراطية مفتوحة في عام 2024 ، لم يستبعد السناتور ساندرز إجراء انتخابات رئاسية أخرى ، لذلك نشجعه على النظر في جميع الأسئلة حول عام 2024". الحلفاء في أبريل. على الرغم من أن ساندرز استبعد تحدي بايدن في الانتخابات التمهيدية للحزب الديمقراطي لعام 2024 ، فمن السهل رؤيته يستكشف سباقًا آخر إذا انسحب بايدن. ويظل ساندرز هو المرشح الأكثر شهرة واحتراما بين الليبراليين في البلاد.
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2. كمالا هاريس: يبدو أن نائب الرئيس قد قام بتسوية السفينة بعد عام صعب للغاية في منصبه. على الرغم من نجاح نشاط هاريس السياسي ، فإنه سيدخل سباق 2024 الديمقراطي باعتباره المرشح المفضل ، ويرجع الفضل في ذلك إلى حد كبير إلى دعم الناخبين السود. على الرغم من أنه سيبدأ باعتباره المرشح الأوفر حظًا ، إلا أنه لا يزال من الصعب رؤية هاريس ينظف الملعب بعد معاناته حتى الآن باعتباره الرجل الثاني في بايدن.
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2. كمالا هاريس: يبدو أن نائب الرئيس قد قام بتسوية السفينة بعد عام صعب للغاية في منصبه. على الرغم من نجاح نشاط هاريس السياسي ، فإنه سيدخل سباق 2024 الديمقراطي باعتباره المرشح المفضل ، ويرجع الفضل في ذلك إلى حد كبير إلى دعم الناخبين السود. على الرغم من أنه سيبدأ باعتباره المرشح الأوفر حظًا ، إلا أنه لا يزال من الصعب رؤية هاريس ينظف الملعب بعد معاناته حتى الآن باعتباره الرجل الثاني في بايدن.
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1. جو بايدن: ليس هناك شك في أن بايدن في حالة سياسية سيئة الآن: معدل الموافقة في ثلاثينيات القرن الماضي ، 5 دولارات للغالون من الغاز ، وهو أعلى معدل تضخم منذ 40 عامًا. ليس هناك شك أيضًا في أنه إذا قرر بايدن الترشح لولاية ثانية ، فمن شبه المؤكد أنه سيكون مرشح الحزب وقد لا يضطر إلى القتال بنفس القوة. ما إذا كان هذا مفيدًا للديمقراطيين على المستوى الوطني هو سؤال مفتوح.
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1. جو بايدن: ليس هناك شك في أن بايدن في حالة سياسية سيئة الآن: معدل الموافقة في ثلاثينيات القرن الماضي ، 5 دولارات للغالون من الغاز ، وهو أعلى معدل تضخم منذ 40 عامًا. ليس هناك شك أيضًا في أنه إذا قرر بايدن الترشح لولاية ثانية ، فمن شبه المؤكد أنه سيكون مرشح الحزب وقد لا يضطر إلى القتال بنفس القوة. ما إذا كان هذا مفيدًا للديمقراطيين على المستوى الوطني هو سؤال مفتوح.
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10. سناتور أركنساس توم كوتون: لقد كنت أقاتل حول من يجب أن يكون الأخير في القائمة ، مع الأخذ في الاعتبار حاكم أركنساس آسا هاتشينسون والسناتور ميسوري جوش هاولي ، من بين آخرين. انتهى بي الأمر بالتصويت لصالح كوتون لأنني أ) اعتقدت أنه أذكى سياسي في المجموعة ب) كان يمثل نوعًا من المحافظين الذي سيكون جذابًا للغاية لناخبي ترامب إذا لم يترشح الرئيس السابق وج) سيفعل. يمر الجميع به تقريبًا. آخرون في السباق. التحدي الذي يواجه كوتون واضح: لكي يكون قادرًا على المنافسة ، سيتعين عليه إثبات قدرته على جمع الأموال ، وسيتعين عليه القيام بالكثير من العمل لتحسين التعرف على اسمه بين الناخبين على مستوى القاعدة.
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10. سناتور أركنساس توم كوتون: لقد كنت أقاتل حول من يجب أن يكون الأخير في القائمة ، مع الأخذ في الاعتبار حاكم أركنساس آسا هاتشينسون والسناتور ميسوري جوش هاولي ، من بين آخرين. Alla fine ho optato per Cotton perché أ) أعتقد أن المجموعة التي تتمتع بأكبر قدر من الذكاء السياسي ب) نوع تمثيلي من المحافظين العضلي الذي يعتقد أن farebbe molto appello agli elettori di Trump الرئيس السابق non fosse in corsa ec) سوف يتجاوز تقريبًا توتي. نحن في gli altri Le sside di Cotton sono chiare: من الضروري أن نكون قادرين على إثبات التمويل التنافسي لكل شيء ، ومن المهم تحديد ناخبي القاعدة الجمهورية بأسمائهم.
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9. السناتور ريك سكوت من فلوريدا: لطالما تم التقليل من شأن سكوت في حياته السياسية. بادئ ذي بدء ، قال الناس إنه لا يستطيع الفوز بالمحافظة. لقد خدم في ولاية لافورو. Poi disero che non poteva essere eletto al Senato؛ لقد أقال السناتور الديمقراطي بيل نيلسون لفعله ذلك في عام 2018. من الواضح أن طموحات سكوت وطنية ؛ يريد قراره نشر أجندة سياسية ، ويسيطر الجمهوريون على مجلس الشيوخ في عام 2023.
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9. السناتور ريك سكوت من فلوريدا: لطالما تم التقليل من شأن سكوت في حياته السياسية. بادئ ذي بدء ، قال الناس إنه لا يستطيع الفوز بالمحافظة. لقد خدم في ولاية لافورو. Poi disero che non poteva essere eletto al Senato؛ eliminó al senador demócrata Bill Nelson por hacer precisamente eso en 2018. Las ambiciones de Scott son claramente nacionales; su decisión de publicar una agenda política que quiere implementar si los republicanos toman el control del Senado en 2023 no es la prueba.
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8. El gobernador de Virginia Glenn Youngkin: dos cosas son ciertas sobre el gobernador de Virginia: 1) acaba de ser elegido para su primer cargo público en 2021 y 2) tiene un mandato limitado para ese cargo en 2025. ¿Qué significa el segundo punto? que Youngkin, necesariamente, sta già tenendo d'occhio il suo futuro. Su victoria en Virginia en 2021 fue ampliamente publicitada como prueba de que el Partido Republicano puede mantener contenta a la base de Trump del partido apelando a los votantes suburbanos críticos. Tiendo a pensar que Youngkin eventualmente se volverá más material como vicepresidente, pero el éxito y la notoriedad derivados de su campaña de 2021 significan que no puede ser ignorado si elige el trabajo más importante.
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8. Il governatore della Virginia Glenn Youngkin: Due cose sono vere sul governatore della Virginia: 1) è stato appena eletto alla sua prima carica pubblica nel 2021 e 2) ha un mandato limitato da quel lavoro nel 2025. Quel secondo punto significa che Youngkin , necessariamente, sta già tenendo d'occhio il suo futuro. La sua vittoria di successo in Virginia nel 2021 è stata ampiamente pubblicizzata come prova che il GOP può mantenere felice la base Trump del partito facendo anche appello allo swing critico, agli elettori suburbani. Tendo a pensare che Youngkin alla fine sia più materiale da vicepresidente, ma il successo e la notorietà derivati dalla sua campagna del 2021 significano che non può essere ignorato se sceglie il lavoro più importante.
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7. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott: Mentre il governatore della Florida Ron DeSantis ottiene il maggior clamore del 2024 tra i dirigenti statali repubblicani – più su quello di seguito – Abbott ha effettivamente usato il suo trespolo come massimo funzionario eletto in Texas per posizionarsi per un anche corsa presidenziale. Abbott è stato aperto sul suo interesse per la corsa – "Vedremo cosa succede", ha detto sulla scia delle elezioni del 2020 – ma deve prima vincere la sua candidatura per la rielezione contro l'ex rappresentante Beto O'Rourke.
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7. Texas Gov. Greg Abbott: Mentre il governatore della Florida Ron DeSantis ottiene il maggior clamore del 2024 tra i dirigenti statali repubblicani – più su quello di seguito – Abbott ha effettivamente usato il suo trespolo come massimo funzionario eletto in Texas per posizionarsi per un anche corsa presidenziale. Abbott è stato aperto sul suo interesse per la corsa – "Vedremo cosa succede", ha detto sulla scia delle elezioni del 2020 – ma deve prima vincere la sua candidatura per la rielezione contro l'ex rappresentante Beto O'Rourke.
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6. Ex ambasciatore Nikki Haley: puoi contare su una mano il numero di incaricati Trump di alto profilo che hanno lasciato l'amministrazione in buoni rapporti con l'ex presidente. Haley, l'ex ambasciatore degli Stati Uniti presso le Nazioni Unite, è una di queste. "Ha fatto un lavoro fantastico e abbiamo fatto un lavoro fantastico insieme", ha detto Trump quando Haley se ne è andata nel 2018. "Abbiamo risolto molti problemi e stiamo risolvendo molti problemi". Ma Haley ha anche pubblicamente ribaltato Trump; she was openly critical of him in the aftermath of the January 6 riot at the US Capitol before falling in line behind him once it became clear that the party's base didn't view January 6 as disqualifying for the former president.
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6. Former Ambassador Nikki Haley: You can count on one hand the number of high-profile Trump appointees who left the administration on good terms with the former president. Haley, the former US Ambassador to the United Nations, is one of them. "She's done a fantastic job and we've done a fantastic job together," Trump said when Haley left in 2018. "We've solved a lot of problems and we're in the process of solving a lot of problems." But, Haley has also publicly flip-flopped on Trump; she was openly critical of him in the aftermath of the January 6 riot at the US Capitol before falling in line behind him once it became clear that the party's base didn't view January 6 as disqualifying for the former president.
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5. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas: Don't forget that the Texas senator was the runner-up to Trump in the 2016 presidential race. And that, after a rocky relationship with Trump during the fall of 2016, Cruz has gone out of his way to make nice with the man who suggested his father might have been involved in the assassination of John F. Kennedy. Cruz's stronger-than-expected 2016 run should not be discounted — he has organizations in early states and a national fundraising base that is unmatched by those below him on this list.
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5. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas: Don't forget that the Texas senator was the runner-up to Trump in the 2016 presidential race. And that, after a rocky relationship with Trump during the fall of 2016, Cruz has gone out of his way to make nice with the man who suggested his father might have been involved in the assassination of John F. Kennedy. Cruz's stronger-than-expected 2016 run should not be discounted — he has organizations in early states and a national fundraising base that is unmatched by those below him on this list.
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4. Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina: Like a number of people on this list, it's hard to imagine the South Carolina Senator running for president if Trump is in the field. (Scott is on record as saying he would back a Trump 2024 campaign.) But, in a Trump-less field, Scott is deeply intriguing: He is the first Black senator elected from the Deep South since Reconstruction and the first Black Republican to serve in the Senate since 1979. He's built a reliably conservative (and pro Trump) record during his nine years in the Senate while showing a willingness to work across the aisle when possible. If Republicans decide they need a new face to lead their party, Scott is at the front of that line.
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4. Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina: Like a number of people on this list, it's hard to imagine the South Carolina Senator running for president if Trump is in the field. (Scott is on record as saying he would back a Trump 2024 campaign.) But, in a Trump-less field, Scott is deeply intriguing: He is the first Black senator elected from the Deep South since Reconstruction and the first Black Republican to serve in the Senate since 1979. He's built a reliably conservative (and pro Trump) record during his nine years in the Senate while showing a willingness to work across the aisle when possible. If Republicans decide they need a new face to lead their party, Scott is at the front of that line.
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3. Former Vice President Mike Pence: I really struggled on where the former vice president belonged on this list. On the one hand, he has been disowned by Trump (and the former president's loyalists) for refusing to overturn the 2020 electoral college results. On the other, Pence has tons of residual name identification from his four years as vice president and retains a solid base of support among religious conservatives. The New York Times reported last month that Pence is trying to edge away from Trump as he considers running in 2024. That's going to be a very delicate dance.
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3. Former Vice President Mike Pence: I really struggled on where the former vice president belonged on this list. On the one hand, he has been disowned by Trump (and the former president's loyalists) for refusing to overturn the 2020 electoral college results. On the other, Pence has tons of residual name identification from his four years as vice president and retains a solid base of support among religious conservatives. The New York Times reported last month that Pence is trying to edge away from Trump as he considers running in 2024. That's going to be a very delicate dance.
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2. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis: There's a clear gap between the Florida governor and the rest of the Republican field not named "Donald Trump." DeSantis even managed to beat out the former President in a straw poll conducted at a Colorado conservative political conference over the weekend. DeSantis can't take his eye off the ball — he is running for a second term this fall — but he has, to date, very effectively used his day job as a way to boost his national profile.
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2. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis: There's a clear gap between the Florida governor and the rest of the Republican field not named "Donald Trump." DeSantis even managed to beat out the former President in a straw poll conducted at a Colorado conservative political conference over the weekend. DeSantis can't take his eye off the ball — he is running for a second term this fall — but he has, to date, very effectively used his day job as a way to boost his national profile.
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1. Former President Donald Trump: If you want to find cracks in the Trump foundation, you can do it; his endorsed candidates in governor's races in places like Georgia, Nebraska and Idaho lost primaries earlier this year. But, that would miss the forest for the trees. The simple fact is that Trump remains the prime mover in Republican Party politics. If he runs — and I absolutely believe he will — he starts in a top tier all his own. The nomination is quite clearly his to lose — which doesn't mean he can't lose it.
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1. Former President Donald Trump: If you want to find cracks in the Trump foundation, you can do it; his endorsed candidates in governor's races in places like Georgia, Nebraska and Idaho lost primaries earlier this year. But, that would miss the forest for the trees. The simple fact is that Trump remains the prime mover in Republican Party politics. If he runs — and I absolutely believe he will — he starts in a top tier all his own. The nomination is quite clearly his to lose — which doesn't mean he can't lose it.